Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 22, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
Vizela2 - 1Maritimo
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Vizela and Maritimo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, May 26 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, May 26 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 2-1 Estrela Amadora (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, June 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, June 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Maritimo |
39.96% ( -0.11) | 25.26% ( 0) | 34.78% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
