Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 0Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Arouca
Monday, May 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, May 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
34
We said: Arouca 1-2 Chaves
Although Arouca have the advantage in terms of league position, all of the momentum is with their next opponents. In what we feel will inevitably be a hard-fought contest, Chaves should have the edge to come through by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Chaves |
32.27% ( 0.03) | 27.14% ( -0) | 40.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.85% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
