Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 6, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
3 - 1
Porto

Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Braga 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Porto
Saturday, December 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Estoril Praia 0-2 Porto

Despite already having a win under their belts, Estoril will recognise that they will probably have to win this fixture in order to progress. That may play into Porto's hands and we feel that the visitors should be able to record a hard-earned victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Porto
22.57% ( 0)	23.47% ( 0)	53.96% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.35% (

-0.01)

46.65% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.08% (

-0.01)

68.92% (

0.01)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.09% (

-0)

34.91% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.35% (

-0)

71.65% (

0.01)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.8% (

-0)

17.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.52% (

-0.01)

47.49% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 22.57%

Porto 53.96%

Draw 23.47%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.04% Total : 22.57%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 9.3% 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.46% 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.4% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.81% Total : 53.96%