Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 28, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
1 - 0
Estoril

Pedrao (31')
Carlinhos (21'), Varela (33'), Relvas (36'), Dener (58'), Silvestre (70'), Tornich (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tavares (7'), Carlos (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Covilha 1-4 Portimonense
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sintrense 0-5 Estoril
Sunday, October 22 at 11am in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

We said: Portimonense 2-1 Estoril Praia

Neither team can boast impressive performances in the Primeira Liga this season, but Portimonense enter this match as favourites with home field advantage on their side. The 5-0 away win in the Taca de Portugal may have given Estoril confidence, but their away record this season suggests it will be very difficult to pick up at least a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Estoril Praia
27.76% ( -0.01)	24.66% ( 0.01)	47.57% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72% (

-0.03)

47.28% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.49% (

-0.03)

69.51% (

0.04)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07% (

-0.03)

30.93% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.77% (

-0.03)

67.23% (

0.04)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

-0.01)

19.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

-0.02)

52.09% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 27.76%

Estoril Praia 47.57%

Draw 24.66%

Portimonense	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.76%	1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.57%