Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 1Portimonense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Arouca
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Boavista
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 2-1 Portimonense
Arouca remain unbeaten after two league games, and while they have proven they can score goals, they have also been conceding very frequently. Portimonense have looked hopeless in their two opening matches though, letting in nine goals, and this could be another difficult evening. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Portimonense |
43.96% ( 0.47) | 27.26% ( 0.06) | 28.77% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.94% ( -0.46) | 57.06% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.05% ( -0.37) | 77.94% ( 0.36) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( 0.03) | 25.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.27% ( 0.05) | 60.73% ( -0.05) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( -0.66) | 35.31% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.94% ( -0.69) | 72.06% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 43.96%
Portimonense 28.77%
Draw 27.25%
| Arouca | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.77% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Portimonense
Arouca
88.9%Draw
11.1%Portimonense
0.0%9
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 6pm
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
