Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 1
Portimonense

Sylla (84')
Simao (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sandro Oliveira Alves Varela (5')
Formiga (25'), Sergio (39+39'), Dener (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Arouca
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Boavista
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Arouca 2-1 Portimonense

Arouca remain unbeaten after two league games, and while they have proven they can score goals, they have also been conceding very frequently. Portimonense have looked hopeless in their two opening matches though, letting in nine goals, and this could be another difficult evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Portimonense
43.96% ( 0.47)	27.26% ( 0.06)	28.77% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 48.01% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.94% (

-0.46)

57.06% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.05% (

-0.37)

77.94% (

0.36)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.22% (

0.03)

25.78% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.27% (

0.05)

60.73% (

-0.05)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.69% (

-0.66)

35.31% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.94% (

-0.69)

72.06% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Arouca 43.96%

Portimonense 28.77%

Draw 27.25%

Arouca	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.77%