Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
29.16% ( -0.32) | 26.83% ( -0.17) | 44.01% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.68% ( 0.49) | 55.32% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.47% ( 0.4) | 76.53% ( -0.4) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.92% ( 0.02) | 34.08% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.23% ( 0.02) | 70.77% ( -0.02) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( 0.47) | 24.97% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% ( 0.64) | 59.62% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.16% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.4% Total : 44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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