Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
46.53% ( -1.09) | 27.16% ( 0.37) | 26.31% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.03% ( -0.86) | 57.97% ( 0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.33% ( -0.68) | 78.67% ( 0.68) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% ( -0.9) | 24.92% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% ( -1.27) | 59.55% ( 1.27) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.18% ( 0.15) | 37.82% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.41% ( 0.15) | 74.59% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |