MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 08:21:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Santa Clara

Estoril
3 - 0
Santa Clara

Marques (17'), Eduardo (34' pen.), Martins (89')
Gamboa (60'), Eduardo (66'), Araujo (82'), Santos (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Henrique (22'), MT (77'), Jordao (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Chaves
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-0 Santa Clara

With two sides who are totally devoid of confidence squaring off, something is bound to give, and we see the hosts having too much for the Primeira Liga's struggling basement side on Sunday and scoring a victory to take a major step towards confirming their safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSanta Clara
48.55% (0.433 0.43) 26.64% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 24.81% (-0.386 -0.39)
Both teams to score 46.91% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)57.06% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)77.95% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.16 0.16)23.56% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.226 0.23)57.63% (-0.225 -0.23)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (-0.402 -0.4)38.63% (0.404 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (-0.386 -0.39)75.38% (0.387 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 48.54%
    Santa Clara 24.82%
    Draw 26.63%
Estoril PraiaDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 48.54%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 24.82%

How you voted: Estoril vs Santa Clara

Estoril Praia
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Santa Clara
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 13
Santa Clara
3-1
Estoril
Gonzalez (23'), Babi (43'), Boateng (70')
Apr 10, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 29
Santa Clara
2-0
Estoril
Antonio (44'), Tagawa (53')
Antonio (64'), Henrique (80')

Ferraresi (89')
Nov 29, 2021 8.15pm
gameweek 12
Estoril
2-2
Santa Clara
Rosier (24'), Franco (88' pen.)
Acevedo (54'), Soria (57')
Lincoln (15'), Crysan (64')
Nene (18'), Morita (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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