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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Bessa Século XXI
Estoril

Boavista
1 - 0
Estoril

Mangas (50')
Bozenik (67'), Lourenco (85'), Mangas (90+11')
Watai (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gamboa (29'), Ndiaye (59'), Gouveia (68'), Alvaro (78'), Santos (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, April 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 3-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, April 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Boavista 1-1 Estoril Praia

Both teams can take positives out of their recent results, Boavista more so than Estoril. Nevertheless, with the visitors easing the pressure on themselves last time out, we feel that playing with a greater freedom here will see them earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
BoavistaDrawEstoril Praia
64.15% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06) 20.46% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 15.4% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.89% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (0.066000000000003 0.07)44.25% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (0.062999999999995 0.06)66.63% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.92% (0.0039999999999907 0)13.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.31% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.69% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (0.108 0.11)41.44% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.05% (0.096 0.1)77.95% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Boavista 64.14%
    Estoril Praia 15.4%
    Draw 20.46%
BoavistaDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 11.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 64.14%
1-1 @ 9.71% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.46%
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.28% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 15.4%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 6pm
gameweek 14
Estoril
2-1
Boavista
Araujo (49'), Gouveia (76')
Mexer (55'), Alvaro (58')
Njie (4')
Vukotic (45'), Reisinho (86')
Camara (41')
Feb 27, 2022 6pm
gameweek 24
Estoril
2-3
Boavista
Vital (6'), Acevedo (54' pen.)
Gamboa (60'), Coly (88')
Musa (20'), Abascal (49'), Santos (85')
Santos (51'), Njie (66'), Sauer (88'), Porozo (89')
Sep 27, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 7
Boavista
1-1
Estoril
Sauer (24' pen.)
Gorre (45+2'), Ferreira (76'), Beiranvand (90+6')
Franco (71')
Chiquinho (68'), Joaozinho (87')
Mar 10, 2018 8.30pm
Boavista
1-0
Estoril
Simao (85' pen.)
Henrique (12'), Simao (42'), Carraca (87')

Allano (54'), Ribeiro (76'), Dankler (81')
Oct 20, 2017 8.30pm
Estoril
0-3
Boavista

Eduardo (54'), Brandao (82')
Carraca (20'), Pedro (33'), Kuca (90')
Simao (22'), Sparagna (31'), Vagner (36'), Raphael (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon55001921715
2Porto540193612
3Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes540162412
4Braga632184411
5Benfica531194510
6FamalicaoFamalicao531183510
7Santa ClaraSanta Clara53029819
8MoreirenseMoreirense521289-17
9AVS521267-17
10Gil Vicente513156-16
11Casa Pia520347-36
12Rio AveRio Ave520336-36
13BoavistaBoavista512234-15
14Estoril PraiaEstoril512225-35
15Nacional6114412-84
16AroucaArouca510428-63
17Estrela Amadora502338-52
18SC FarenseFarense5005212-100


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