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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Portimonense

Guimaraes
1 - 2
Portimonense

Relvas (17' og.)
Fernandes (8'), Silva (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlinhos (81' pen., 90+6')
Seck (43'), Formiga (45+3'), Zinho (90+3'), Carlinhos (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Tondela
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Portimonense

Despite the setback in being knocked out of the cup last week, Guimaraes should emphasise their superiority by returning to winning ways here. Portimonense have been one of the league's poorest sides in the opening four weeks, and two thrashing against mid-table outfits already suggests another tough day could be in store. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
54.84% (-0.517 -0.52) 25.51% (-0.286 -0.29) 19.65% (0.808 0.81)
Both teams to score 44.02% (1.875 1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.3% (1.839 1.84)57.7% (-1.833 -1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55% (1.432 1.43)78.45% (-1.427 -1.43)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.54000000000001 0.54)21.1% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (0.829 0.83)53.93% (-0.822 -0.82)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.8% (2.012 2.01)44.21% (-2.006 -2.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (1.599 1.6)80.29% (-1.593 -1.59)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 54.84%
    Portimonense 19.65%
    Draw 25.5%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 14.51% (-0.79 -0.79)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.173 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.165 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.17 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 54.84%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.671 -0.67)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.272 0.27)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.275 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.65%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Portimonense

Vitoria de Guimaraes
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Portimonense
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 8.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Portimonense
2-1
Guimaraes
Junior (62'), Cariello (88')
Estrela (44'), Moufi (45+2'), Pedrao (84'), Ewerton (90')
Silva (46')
Varela (84'), Janvier (90+6')
Jan 17, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 18
Portimonense
1-1
Guimaraes
Oliveira (85')
Moufi (48'), Oliveira (54'), Possignolo (65'), Carlinhos (90+5')
Luz (34')
Sa (43'), Ferreira (45'), Rochinha (54'), Amaro (76'), Lameiras (83')
Aug 8, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
Guimaraes
0-1
Portimonense

Fernandes (31'), Bucancil Nabian (86')
Beto (86')
Beto (49'), Moufi (80'), Rosa Santos (90+11')
Apr 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
Portimonense
3-0
Guimaraes
Possignolo (5'), Dener (64' pen.), Beto (67')
Willyan (56'), Seung-woo (89')

Mumin (35'), Lameiras (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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