Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 2
Portimonense

Relvas (17' og.)
Fernandes (8'), Silva (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carlinhos (81' pen., 90+6')
Seck (43'), Formiga (45+3'), Zinho (90+3'), Carlinhos (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Tondela
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Portimonense

Despite the setback in being knocked out of the cup last week, Guimaraes should emphasise their superiority by returning to winning ways here. Portimonense have been one of the league's poorest sides in the opening four weeks, and two thrashing against mid-table outfits already suggests another tough day could be in store. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Portimonense
54.84% ( -0.52)	25.51% ( -0.29)	19.65% ( 0.81)

Both teams to score 44.02% (

1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.3% (

1.84)

57.7% (

-1.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.55% (

1.43)

78.45% (

-1.43)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9% (

0.54)

21.1% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07% (

0.83)

53.93% (

-0.82)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.8% (

2.01)

44.21% (

-2.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.71% (

1.6)

80.29% (

-1.59)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 54.84%

Portimonense 19.65%

Draw 25.5%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 14.51% ( -0.79) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.1% Total : 54.84%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.65%