Benfica4 - 0Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Guimaraes will head into Saturday's encounter in a confident mood, but their head-to-head record suggests that their winning run will come to an end against Benfica, who should have enough quality to pick up maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
66.93% ( -0.33) | 19.37% ( 0.14) | 13.69% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( -0.21) | 43.02% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( -0.21) | 65.42% ( 0.21) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.07% ( -0.15) | 11.92% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.72% ( -0.32) | 37.28% ( 0.33) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.92% ( 0.15) | 43.08% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.64% ( 0.12) | 79.36% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 66.92% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.37% | 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.69% |
