Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 24, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
1 - 3
Benfica

Sandro Oliveira Alves Varela (56')
Sandro Oliveira Alves Varela (35')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bah (5'), Musa (17'), Neres (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Portimonense
Sunday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 0-2 Salzburg
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portimonense 1-4 Benfica

Having stunned Vitoria last time out, Portimonense will back themselves to take something from a Benfica side that have not always been convincing this season. However, we feel that the 2022-23 title winners will be motivated to let out some frustration after their disappointment in the Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.65%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Benfica
9.81% ( -0.7)	15.67% ( -0.35)	74.51% ( 1.04)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

-1.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.9% (

-0.52)

36.1% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.79% (

-0.57)

58.2% (

0.57)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.84% (

-1.7)

45.16% (

1.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.94% (

-1.38)

81.06% (

1.38)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.76% (

0.1)

8.23% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.21% (

0.25)

28.78% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 9.81%

Benfica 74.51%

Draw 15.67%

Portimonense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.81%	1-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.67%	0-2 @ 11.59% ( 0.41) 0-3 @ 9.65% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 7.67% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 6.02% ( 0.27) 1-4 @ 4.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.17) 0-5 @ 3.01% ( 0.15) 1-5 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 0-6 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) 1-6 @ 1% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 74.51%