Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
3 - 1
Estoril

Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Mafra
Sunday, November 26 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

We said: Braga 2-1 Estoril Praia

Braga put in a huge effort to earn a point off Union Berlin on Wednesday, but the hosts should be able to rotate their side to good effect on Sunday. Estoril are enjoying a slight upturn in form but have been largely unconvincing on the road this term, and we expect that theme to continue in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Estoril Praia
65.57% ( -1.16)	18.88% ( 0.3)	15.55% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 56.84% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.36% (

0.41)

36.64% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.2% (

0.44)

58.8% (

-0.44)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.55% (

-0.17)

10.45% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.94% (

-0.4)

34.06% (

0.4)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.48% (

1.37)

36.52% (

-1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.69% (

1.36)

73.31% (

-1.36)

Score Analysis

Braga 65.57%

Estoril Praia 15.55%

Draw 18.88%

Braga	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.88% Total : 65.57%	1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.88%	1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.27% Total : 15.55%