Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Nov 1, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 1
Casa Pia

Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Braga and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-3 Braga
Saturday, October 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Even though Braga enter the game after a disappointing last week, the gap between the two teams in terms of quality is still too big. Braga are clear favourites, and the home fans should further encourage the team to bounce back after last week's poor results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Casa Pia
59.6% ( 0.26)	21.66% ( -0.05)	18.74% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 53.94% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.28% (

-0.06)

43.72% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.89% (

-0.06)

66.11% (

0.07)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.72% (

0.06)

14.28% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.92% (

0.12)

42.08% (

-0.11)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.92% (

-0.25)

37.08% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14% (

-0.25)

73.86% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Braga 59.59%

Casa Pia 18.74%

Draw 21.65%

Braga	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 59.59%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.65%	0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.74%