Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
37.63% ( -0.02) | 25.87% ( 0) | 36.5% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.67% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% ( -0.02) | 49.61% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% ( -0.02) | 71.63% ( 0.02) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.26% ( -0.02) | 25.74% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.32% ( -0.03) | 60.67% ( 0.04) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( 0) | 26.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( 0.01) | 61.53% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.63% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 20 | 18 |
2 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Benfica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
12 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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