Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca0 - 1Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 2-1 Casa Pia
Armed with confidence from their positive start, which culminated in the impressive draw against Porto, and on the back of a break from competitive action, we back Arouca to take all three points on Sunday with home advantage on their side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Casa Pia |
39.33% ( -0.3) | 27.61% ( 0.33) | 33.06% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.65% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% ( -1.23) | 57.04% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( -0.99) | 77.93% ( 0.99) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -0.75) | 28.27% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.01% ( -0.96) | 63.99% ( 0.96) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( -0.64) | 32.18% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.34% ( -0.74) | 68.66% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 39.33%
Casa Pia 33.05%
Draw 27.61%
| Arouca | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.05% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Casa Pia
Arouca
71.4%Draw
28.6%Casa Pia
0.0%7
