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Moreirense
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Porto
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Portimonense

Braga
6 - 1
Portimonense

Horta (47'), Elmusrati (52' pen.), Djalo (59'), Banza (83' pen., 87', 90')
Djalo (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedrao (10')
Costa (42'), Tornich (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Casa Pia
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Portimonense

Portimonense have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks but will have to show their mettle against a Braga side who are unbeaten in the previous 18 meetings between the sides. While Braga have suffered a drop-off in form of late, they boast the firepower needed to turn things around this weekend and we are backing them to return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPortimonense
63.59% (3.492 3.49) 20.29% (-1.116 -1.12) 16.11% (-2.378 -2.38)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-1.169 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.86% (0.877 0.88)42.13% (-0.877 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.46% (0.873 0.87)64.54% (-0.873 -0.87)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (1.304 1.3)12.59% (-1.305 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.32% (2.641 2.64)38.68% (-2.642 -2.64)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.78% (-2.279 -2.28)39.22% (2.277 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.07% (-2.203 -2.2)75.92% (2.201 2.2)
Score Analysis
    Braga 63.59%
    Portimonense 16.11%
    Draw 20.29%
BragaDrawPortimonense
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.603 0.6)
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.746 0.75)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.306 0.31)
4-0 @ 3.79% (0.55 0.55)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.32 0.32)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.291 0.29)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 63.59%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.503 -0.5)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.29%
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.541 -0.54)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.383 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.269 -0.27)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.11%

How you voted: Braga vs Portimonense

Braga
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Portimonense
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 30
Braga
4-1
Portimonense
Ruiz (2'), Medeiros (32'), Niakate (38'), Horta (67')
Gomes (45+2')
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Ouattara (40')
Medeiros (65' pen.), Oliveira (83')
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Carmo (63' og.)
Relvas (41')
Moura (5'), Couto (22')
Moura (89')
Nov 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 10
Braga
3-0
Portimonense
Galeno (5', 53'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Medeiros (38'), Elmusrati (47'), Horta (80')

Sa (24'), Willyan (38'), Angulo (38'), Carlinhos (49'), Nakajima (55'), Aponza (80')
May 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 34
Portimonense
0-0
Braga
Beto (14'), Possignolo (35'), Boa Morte (41'), Willyan (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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