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Sporting Lisbon
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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Portimonense

Braga
6 - 1
Portimonense

Horta (47'), Elmusrati (52' pen.), Djalo (59'), Banza (83' pen., 87', 90')
Djalo (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedrao (10')
Costa (42'), Tornich (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Casa Pia
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Portimonense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Portimonense

 Portimonense have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks but will have to show their mettle against a Braga side who are unbeaten in the previous 18 meetings between the sides. While Braga have suffered a drop-off in form of late, they boast the firepower needed to turn things around this weekend and we are backing them to return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPortimonense
63.59% (3.492 3.49) 20.29% (-1.116 -1.12) 16.11% (-2.378 -2.38)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-1.169 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.86% (0.877 0.88)42.13% (-0.877 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.46% (0.873 0.87)64.54% (-0.873 -0.87)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (1.304 1.3)12.59% (-1.305 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.32% (2.641 2.64)38.68% (-2.642 -2.64)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.78% (-2.279 -2.28)39.22% (2.277 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.07% (-2.203 -2.2)75.92% (2.201 2.2)
Score Analysis
    Braga 63.59%
    Portimonense 16.11%
    Draw 20.29%
BragaDrawPortimonense
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.603 0.6)
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.746 0.75)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.306 0.31)
4-0 @ 3.79% (0.55 0.55)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.32 0.32)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.291 0.29)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 63.59%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.503 -0.5)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.29%
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.541 -0.54)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.383 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.269 -0.27)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.11%

How you voted: Braga vs Portimonense

Braga
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Portimonense
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 30
Braga
4-1
Portimonense
Ruiz (2'), Medeiros (32'), Niakate (38'), Horta (67')
Gomes (45+2')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Ouattara (40')
Medeiros (65' pen.), Oliveira (83')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Carmo (63' og.)
Relvas (41')
Moura (5'), Couto (22')
Moura (89')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 10
Braga
3-0
Portimonense
Galeno (5', 53'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Medeiros (38'), Elmusrati (47'), Horta (80')

Sa (24'), Willyan (38'), Angulo (38'), Carlinhos (49'), Nakajima (55'), Aponza (80')
> Preview
May 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 34
Portimonense
0-0
Braga
Beto (14'), Possignolo (35'), Boa Morte (41'), Willyan (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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