Braga and Estoril Praia square off on Sunday evening with just one point separating the two clubs in the Primeira Liga standings.
While the top three have already surged clear above them, these two sides are eager to remain as the best of the rest in the race for the European places.
Match preview
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Braga enter every domestic campaign with ambitions of matching the biggest clubs in the division, but their inconsistency has already left them scrapping for fourth position.
To their credit, they have only suffered one defeat in 10 league fixtures, but that solitary setback came by a 6-1 scoreline at Benfica, further strengthening the feeling that they should no longer be regarded as realistic title contenders.
Carlos Carvalhal's team bounced back from that capitulation with a 4-1 victory over Vizela, Ricardo Horta taking his domestic tally for the season to seven goals courtesy of a double.
A period of four draws in five games cost Braga earlier in the campaign, and it has heaped the pressure on delivering three points in fixtures such as this one.
On the plus side, Braga have put together a 10-game unbeaten streak at Estadio Municipal de Braga since losing to Sporting Lisbon in the middle of August.
Many observers of Portugal's top flight have been waiting for Estoril to finally wilt after their astonishing start to their first campaign in the division.
However, Bruno Pinheiro's side continue to impress, Canarinhos twice having to come from behind to earn a 2-2 draw with Santa Clara last time out.
Although Pinheiro would have been hoping for more against the league's bottom club, their latest show of character extended their unbeaten run in all competitions to eight fixtures.
Estoril have only lost twice all season, each time by 1-0 scorelines, and you have to go back to August 1 for the last occasion that they suffered an away defeat.
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Team News
Having scored as a substitute last time out, Abel Ruiz is expected to be restored to the Braga XI.
Francisco Moura impressed on his first start of the season at left wing-back, but Galeno should come back into the team.
Andre Franco made an impression as a substitute for Estoril against Santa Clara and could earn an opportunity on Sunday.
Chiquinho, who is without a start in two months, is also in contention for a return in the final third.
Defender Lucas Africo is sidelined for the rest for the season with the injury that he sustained at the beginning of November.
Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Oliveira, Leite, Silva; Couto, A. Horta, Castro, Galeno; Medeiros, Ruiz, R. Horta
Estoril Praia possible starting lineup:
Figueira; Soria, Ferraresi, Willian, Joaozinho; Rosier, Gamboa, Franco; Chiquinho, Ruiz, Gomes
We say: Braga 1-1 Estoril Praia
Neither team have been strangers to recording a draw this season, and we cannot back against that outcome for this fixture. While Estoril would be the happier of the two sides, Braga would not say not to avoiding defeat against the surprise package.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
