We said: Braga 2-0 Union Berlin
Braga will be confident in taking advantage of an out-of-form Union side to keep their hopes of the knockout stages alive, especially considering their blistering recent attacking form.
Union will be hoping for a new manager bounce under Bjelica, but with the morale of the squad still in tatters, it is tough to see them changing their fortunes in such a challenging encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.