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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Union Berlin
0 - 3
Frankfurt

FT(HT: 0-2)
Marmoush (2', 14'), Ferri (82')
Koch (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Union Berlin's stretch of losses has reached crisis levels, with Fischer facing significant pressure for the first time since he became the club's manager in 2018. They will be desperate to avoid another defeat on Saturday. Frankfurt head into this match in decent form, but they are guilty of drawing too many matches, while Trapp's potential absence is a major cause for concern. We can envisage them sharing the spoils once again, which would probably not disappoint either manager too much. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawEintracht Frankfurt
33.6% (-3.601 -3.6) 26.17% (-0.117 -0.12) 40.23% (3.716 3.72)
Both teams to score 53.27% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (0.16500000000001 0.17)51.22% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94% (0.145 0.15)73.06% (-0.146 -0.15)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-2.095 -2.1)28.9% (2.092 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-2.676 -2.68)64.77% (2.674 2.67)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (2.133 2.13)25.07% (-2.136 -2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (2.863 2.86)59.76% (-2.867 -2.87)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 33.6%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 40.22%
    Draw 26.16%
Union BerlinDrawEintracht Frankfurt
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.608 -0.61)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.504 -0.5)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.738 -0.74)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.414 -0.41)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.464 -0.46)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.6%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.526 0.53)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.472 0.47)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.754 0.75)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.439 0.44)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.516 0.52)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.14 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.224 0.22)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.234 0.23)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.22%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Frankfurt

Union Berlin
21.6%
Draw
23.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55.4%
74
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Frankfurt
2-0
Union Berlin
Kolo (11', 12')
Mar 19, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 17, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Union Berlin
2-0
Frankfurt
Awoniyi (17'), Promel (21')
Baumgartl (71'), Michel (90+2')

Lenz (70')
Nov 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Frankfurt
2-1
Union Berlin
Sow (22'), N'Dicka (90+5')
Kruse (62' pen.)
Promel (39'), Knoche (59'), Luthe (90+3'), Becker (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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