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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Braga

Arouca
0 - 1
Braga


Simao (40'), Santos (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djalo (36')
Moutinho (45+3'), Bruma (46'), Magalhaes (85'), Ruiz (90+3')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Braga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 2-0 Arouca
Monday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBraga
24.44% (1.089 1.09) 23.56% (0.664 0.66) 52% (-1.752 -1.75)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.947 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (-1.85 -1.85)45.1% (1.853 1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (-1.799 -1.8)67.44% (1.802 1.8)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)32.41% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)68.92% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (-1.299 -1.3)17.35% (1.302 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.26% (-2.329 -2.33)47.73% (2.331 2.33)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 24.44%
    Braga 52.01%
    Draw 23.55%
AroucaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.33% (0.477 0.48)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.199 0.2)
2-0 @ 3.57% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.35% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.44%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.435 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.358 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.68% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-3 @ 5.04% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-4 @ 2.21% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 52.01%

How you voted: Arouca vs Braga

Arouca
6.3%
Draw
0.0%
Braga
93.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Braga
2-0
Arouca
Ruiz (1'), Banza (81')
Aug 28, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Fernandes (6'), Simao (38'), Milovanov (39')
Banza (1'), Horta (4', 40'), Oliveira (44'), Castro (67'), Lainez (76')
Medeiros (19'), Elmusrati (21'), Lainez (48')
May 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Braga
1-0
Arouca
Horta (87')

Nunes (84')
Dec 30, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 16
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Valderrama (9'), Evangelista (45+4')
Oliveira (5', 12', 26'), Medeiros (71' pen.), Fernandes (74', 80')
Couto (54'), Mineiro (72')
Mar 4, 2017 4pm
Braga
3-1
Arouca
Fonte (12', 69'), Battaglia (73')
Vukcevic (53')
Mateus (17')
Kuca (15'), Valente (27'), Gonzalez (75'), Nelsinho (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

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Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

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1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

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1 France France11003
2 Austria Austria21013
3 Netherlands Netherlands11003
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

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1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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