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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Arouca

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Arouca

Gyokeres (31'), Morita (68')
Diomande (29'), Edwards (45+2'), Quaresma (62')
Diomande (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mujica (52')
Mujica (29'), Cristo (58'), Weverson (60'), Fernandes (64'), De Arruabarrena (74'), Santos (90+3')
Fernandes (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Atalanta
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Chaves
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Arouca

 While there is the potential for Sporting to suffer a European hangover, their motivation to remain top should serve them well. Arouca look increasingly devoid of confidence, and it would come as a surprise if Sporting do not win and win well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawArouca
66.77% (0.13 0.13) 20.07% (0.299 0.3) 13.16% (-0.428 -0.43)
Both teams to score 46.41% (-2.122 -2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.78% (-2.217 -2.22)47.22% (2.22 2.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.55% (-2.096 -2.1)69.45% (2.098 2.1)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.77% (-0.634 -0.63)13.23% (0.637 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.02% (-1.299 -1.3)39.98% (1.3 1.3)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49% (-2.038 -2.04)46.51% (2.04 2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.88% (-1.607 -1.61)82.12% (1.608 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 66.76%
    Arouca 13.16%
    Draw 20.07%
Sporting LisbonDrawArouca
2-0 @ 12.58% (0.56 0.56)
1-0 @ 12.44% (0.84 0.84)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.49% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.239 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 66.76%
1-1 @ 9.53% (0.124 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.552 0.55)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.259 -0.26)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.07%
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 3.65% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 13.16%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca

Sporting Lisbon
90.5%
Draw
4.8%
Arouca
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Arouca
Goncalves (87' pen.)
Antony (38')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Dabbagh (58')
Paulinho (45+7', 82')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Arouca
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Basso (47')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Arouca
Slimani (46', 52')
Essugo (26'), Coates (36')

Esgaio (15'), Simao (40'), Galovic (65'), Ruiz (85')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Dabbagh (51')
Nunes (45+1'), Silva (63'), Araujo (85')
Nunes (16'), Santos (54')
Sarabia (45'), Paulinho (63'), Porro (63'), Braganca (77'), Tomas (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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