Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Sep 26, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
AVS1 - 2Arouca
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between AVS and Arouca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Arouca
Friday, September 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, September 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for AVS had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Arouca |
34.19% ( 0.01) | 27.96% ( -0) | 37.85% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.79% ( 0.01) | 58.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% ( 0.01) | 78.85% ( -0.01) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( 0.01) | 32.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.52% ( 0.01) | 68.47% ( -0.02) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( 0) | 29.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.24% ( 0) | 65.76% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
AVS 34.19%
Arouca 37.85%
Draw 27.95%
| AVS | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.85% |
