MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:39:39| >> :600:3147138:3147138:
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Sep 26, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Arouca

AVS
1 - 2
Arouca

Daniel Barbosa da Silva (59')
Sangare (23'), Dioh (90+6')
Alaba (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jason (17'), Cristo (67')
Simao (90+9')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between AVS and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Vizela
Friday, July 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Arouca

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Arouca
Friday, September 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for AVS had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AVSDrawArouca
34.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.96% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 37.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 47.79% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.79% (0.014999999999993 0.01)58.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15% (0.012 0.01)78.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.010000000000005 0.01)32.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)68.47% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (0.0049999999999955 0)65.76% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AVS 34.19%
    Arouca 37.85%
    Draw 27.95%
AVSDrawArouca
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 11.54%
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.85%

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