Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estoril2 - 1Mafra
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Estoril Praia and Mafra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Casa Pia
Friday, November 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, November 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Mafra 3-1 Feirense
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Mafra had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Mafra win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Mafra |
45.31% ( -0.01) | 24.52% ( -0) | 30.17% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.4% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% ( 0.01) | 45.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.41% ( 0.01) | 67.59% ( -0) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% ( 0) | 20.08% ( 0) |