Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Sporting Lisbon8 - 0Dumiense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Dumiense 1-0 AVS
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Dumiense
Sporting Lisbon walks into this match as the favourites, and while anything can happen in football their quality should prove to be too much in this particular fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 90.54%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Dumiense had a probability of 2.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (11.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.35%), while for a Dumiense win it was 0-1 (0.99%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Dumiense |
90.54% ( -0.14) | 7.05% ( 0.11) | 2.4% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 35.42% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.58% ( -0.44) | 26.42% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.25% ( -0.56) | 46.75% ( 0.56) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.57% ( -0.08) | 3.43% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 85% ( -0.29) | 15% ( 0.29) |
| Dumiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.68% ( -0.17) | 63.32% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 7.74% ( -0.08) | 92.26% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon 90.52%
Dumiense 2.4%
Draw 7.05%
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Dumiense |
| 3-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0)2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)7-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)8-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 90.52% | 1-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 7.05% | 0-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 2.4% |
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Dumiense
Sporting Lisbon
84.6%Draw
15.4%Dumiense
0.0%13
