Boavista0 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Boavista 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Boavista are still unbeaten at home this season, but the visit of league leaders Sporting Lisbon will be a very different challenge, which they have not had before. The visitors will do everything they can to maintain their excellent record in the league and continue to challenge for the title. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
17.92% ( -0.98) | 22.16% ( -0.18) | 59.92% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( -0.72) | 47.19% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% ( -0.67) | 69.42% ( 0.67) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% ( -1.54) | 40.05% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.3% ( -1.44) | 76.7% ( 1.43) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( 0.14) | 15.34% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.9% ( 0.26) | 44.1% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.05% Total : 17.92% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( 0.42)1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.9% |
