Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 18, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
4 - 1
Chaves

Morais (1'), Agra (5'), Bozenik (11', 23')
Perez (90+4')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Victor Ferreira de Jesus (71')
Nogueira (33'), Victor Ferreira de Jesus (45+3'), Guimaraes (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Boavista
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Moreirense
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boavista's strong start looks set to continue, playing a woefully out-of-form Chaves side on home soil here. Chaves will hope to spring a surprise, but four defeats from four suggests they may struggle against one of the early pace-setters in the Primeira Liga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Chaves
40.94% ( -0.34)	27.56% ( 0.13)	31.5% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 48.35% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.79% (

-0.43)

57.21% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.93% (

-0.34)

78.07% (

0.34)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55% (

-0.38)

27.45% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.06% (

-0.5)

62.94% (

0.5)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

-0.08)

33.35% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

-0.09)

69.97% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Boavista 40.93%

Chaves 31.49%

Draw 27.55%

Boavista	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.93%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.49%