Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Dumiense
1 - 0
AVS

Dica (11')
Cardoso (13'), Dica (17'), Faria (79'), de Sousa Ribeiro (80'), Martins (83'), Rosa (85'), Costa (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ricardo (11'), Alaba (70'), Clayton (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Dumiense and AVS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumiense

Last Game: Famalicao 4-1 Dumiense
Wednesday, November 9 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

AVS

Last Game: AVS 1-2 Arouca
Tuesday, September 26 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Dumiense had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Dumiense win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Dumiense	Draw	AVS
35.15% ( -0)	25.33% ( -0)	39.52% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.41% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.68% (

0.03)

47.32% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.46% (

0.02)

69.54% (

-0.02)

Dumiense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92% (

0.01)

26.08% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87% (

0.01)

61.13% (

-0.01)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31% (

0.02)

23.69% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2% (

0.02)

57.8% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Dumiense 35.15%

AVS 39.52%

Draw 25.32%

Dumiense	Draw	AVS
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.15%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.52%