While Sporting Lisbon have not done as well as they would have expected in the first half of the group stages, they do have two home games to come in their last three matches and will be targeting nothing less than three points in both of those. They were a tad unlucky to drop two points the last time these sides met, but we do not expect them to make the same mistake this time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 10.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
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