MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 02:01:51| >> :600:3402081:3402081:
Sporting Lisbon
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Farense logo

Sporting Lisbon
4 - 2
Farense

Gyokeres (24', 28' pen., 63'), Santos (56')
Reis (14')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Oliveira (49'), Goncalves (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, October 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-4 Farense
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 SC Farense

While Sporting Lisbon will likely make plenty of rotations in midweek, they should still have more than enough to get past Farense, particularly with home advantage, and we back Amorim's men to kick off with a three-point haul in the Taca da Liga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 76.28%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 1-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
76.28% (-0.821 -0.82) 15.21% (0.522 0.52) 8.52% (0.295 0.3)
Both teams to score 46.29% (-0.61 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.67% (-1.522 -1.52)38.33% (1.519 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.39% (-1.634 -1.63)60.61% (1.63 1.63)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.63% (-0.536 -0.54)8.37% (0.532 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.87% (-1.344 -1.34)29.13% (1.34 1.34)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.52% (-0.372 -0.37)49.48% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.7% (-0.263 -0.26)84.3% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 76.27%
    SC Farense 8.52%
    Draw 15.21%
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.27 0.27)
3-0 @ 10.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.47 0.47)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 6.53% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-1 @ 4.6% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-0 @ 3.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.34% (-0.117 -0.12)
6-1 @ 0.94% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 76.27%
1-1 @ 7.23% (0.259 0.26)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 15.21%
0-1 @ 2.91% (0.177 0.18)
1-2 @ 2.54% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 8.52%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Farense

Sporting Lisbon
83.0%
Draw
8.5%
SC Farense
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Farense
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Oliveira (37', 55')
Belloumi (58'), Oliveira (63'), Luis (85'), Velho (88'), Jorge (90+3')
Silva (18')
Gyokeres (21' pen., 90'), Goncalves (35')
Hjulmand (36'), Santos (53'), Braganca (84'), Inacio (85'), Goncalves (88'), Morita (90+4')
Nov 30, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
6-0
Farense
Paulinho (20', 22'), Edwards (39'), Goncalves (48'), Arthur (75'), Fernandes (85' pen.)
Apr 16, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 27
Farense
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Gauld (90+3')
Goncalves (35')
Reis (40'), Adan (86')
Dec 19, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Farense
Sporar (90+1' pen.)
Tomas (26'), Palhinha (41'), Coates (68'), Santos (90+7')

Defendi (36'), Isidoro (43'), Nunes (75'), Mancha (83')
Defendi (86')
rhs 2.0
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