Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Campo Cruz Do Reguengo
Vilaverdense3 - 2Farense
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Vilaverdense and SC Farense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Vizela
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vilaverdense win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vilaverdense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vilaverdense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vilaverdense | Draw | SC Farense |
46.17% ( -0.04) | 25.24% ( -0.04) | 28.58% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
