Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 29, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
3 - 4
Farense

Jorge (33' og.), Pereira (42'), Costinha (62' pen.)
Nobrega (31'), Pereira (47'), Graca (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Belloumi (4'), Duarte (45+2'), Falcao (89'), Costa (90+3')
Matias (44'), Duarte (57'), Jorge (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Torreense 2-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vilaverdense 3-2 Farense
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

We said: Rio Ave 1-0 SC Farense

Still licking their wounds from their cup exits, Rio Ave and Farense will be looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and we anticipate an exciting battle at the Estadio dos Arcos. Rio Ave have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given their home advantage, we are backing them to see off Mota's men who have lost their last four away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 25.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	SC Farense
48.13% ( 0.41)	26.02% ( 0.04)	25.85% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 49.54% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.92% (

-0.45)

54.08% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

-0.38)

75.51% (

0.37)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

-0.01)

22.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.96% (

-0.01)

56.04% (

0.01)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.92% (

-0.62)

36.08% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.13% (

-0.63)

72.86% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 48.12%

SC Farense 25.85%

Draw 26.02%

Rio Ave	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 48.12%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.85%