Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
0 - 4
Moreirense

Rodrigues (21'), Pantalon (26'), Costinha (33')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Silva (8'), Camacho (18', 50'), Madson (82')
Luis (43'), Alan (53'), Franco (77'), Madson (83'), Wallisson (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Rio Ave
Monday, September 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Rio Ave 1-2 Moreirense

Moreirense have enjoyed a decent start to life back in the top flight and will be looking to build on last week's victory. Broges's men take on a floundering Rio Ave side who have failed to win their last five matches and we are backing them to come away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Moreirense
38.67% ( 0.32)	26.7% ( 0.15)	34.63% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 51.76% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

-0.65)

53.25% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

-0.56)

74.8% (

0.56)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

-0.12)

26.85% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.85% (

-0.16)

62.15% (

0.16)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75% (

-0.61)

29.25% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79% (

-0.76)

65.2% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 38.67%

Moreirense 34.63%

Draw 26.69%

Rio Ave	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.67%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.63%