Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave0 - 4Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Rio Ave
Monday, September 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, September 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Rio Ave 1-2 Moreirense
Moreirense have enjoyed a decent start to life back in the top flight and will be looking to build on last week's victory. Broges's men take on a floundering Rio Ave side who have failed to win their last five matches and we are backing them to come away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Moreirense |
38.67% ( 0.32) | 26.7% ( 0.15) | 34.63% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( -0.65) | 53.25% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( -0.56) | 74.8% ( 0.56) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( -0.12) | 26.85% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.85% ( -0.16) | 62.15% ( 0.16) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( -0.61) | 29.25% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.79% ( -0.76) | 65.2% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
Rio Ave 38.67%
Moreirense 34.63%
Draw 26.69%
| Rio Ave | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.63% |
Form Guide
