Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 4, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Gil Vicente
Both these sides have put up very good attacking numbers this season, but Sporting have been much better in defence than Gil Vicente, which is where the major difference lies. We are expecting both teams to find the net in this one but are backing the hosts to outscore the visitors.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.64% . A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.73% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.41%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%) , while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.27%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result Sporting Lisbon Draw Gil Vicente 72.64% ( -0.12) 16.63% ( 0.28) 10.73% ( -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.32% ( -1.72)
62.09% ( -1.9) 37.91% ( 1.89)
39.83% ( -2.05) 60.17% ( 2.05)
90.91% ( -0.5) 9.1% ( 0.5)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 69.1% ( -1.21) 30.9% ( 1.21)
55.35% ( -1.58) 44.65% ( 1.58)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.35% ( -1.3) 80.65% ( 1.3)
Sporting Lisbon 72.64%
Gil Vicente 10.73%
Draw 16.63%
Sporting Lisbon Draw Gil Vicente 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 5.59% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.12% Total : 72.64% 1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.63% 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.73%
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente
Sporting Lisbon
Draw
Gil Vicente
31
rhs 2.0
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