Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
4 - 2
Gil Vicente

Hernandez (26', 81', 90+8'), Cruz (58')
Sanca (45+2'), Ribeiro (90+3')
Ribeiro (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Correia (19'), Dominguez (39')
Tiba (29'), Pereira (36'), Neto (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Chaves
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, October 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Chaves 3-2 Gil Vicente

In the first-ever top-flight meetings between the sides last season, Chaves won 3-1 here, and after finding a new lease of life under Moreno, they could well repeat the feat. Gil Vicente have been free-scoring, but despite scoring 16 goals in their first seven games, they have still lost four times, including in all three away games so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Gil Vicente
33.77% ( -0.26)	24.66% ( 0.06)	41.56% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 58.44% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45% (

-0.33)

44.55% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.08% (

-0.31)

66.91% (

0.32)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.43% (

-0.31)

25.57% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.56% (

-0.42)

60.44% (

0.43)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.52% (

-0.04)

21.47% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.49% (

-0.06)

54.51% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Chaves 33.77%

Gil Vicente 41.56%

Draw 24.65%

Chaves	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.77%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.65%	1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.56%