Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves4 - 2Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Chaves
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, October 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, October 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Chaves 3-2 Gil Vicente
In the first-ever top-flight meetings between the sides last season, Chaves won 3-1 here, and after finding a new lease of life under Moreno, they could well repeat the feat. Gil Vicente have been free-scoring, but despite scoring 16 goals in their first seven games, they have still lost four times, including in all three away games so far. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Gil Vicente |
33.77% ( -0.26) | 24.66% ( 0.06) | 41.56% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.44% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.45% ( -0.33) | 44.55% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.08% ( -0.31) | 66.91% ( 0.32) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.31) | 25.57% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.56% ( -0.42) | 60.44% ( 0.43) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( -0.04) | 21.47% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.49% ( -0.06) | 54.51% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Chaves 33.77%
Gil Vicente 41.56%
Draw 24.65%
| Chaves | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.56% |
How you voted: Chaves vs Gil Vicente
Chaves
50.0%Draw
25.0%Gil Vicente
25.0%8
Form Guide
