Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 2 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Benfica | 2 | 5 | 6 |
3 | Boavista | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Braga | 2 | 3 | 4 |
6 | Sporting Lisbon | 2 | 3 | 4 |
7 | Estoril Praia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
50.15% ( -1.21) | 23.08% ( 0.3) | 26.77% ( 0.91) |
Both teams to score 59.86% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.11% ( -0.62) | 40.89% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.72% ( -0.63) | 63.27% ( 0.63) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.53% ( -0.66) | 16.47% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.83% ( -1.2) | 46.17% ( 1.2) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% ( 0.35) | 28.34% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.92% ( 0.44) | 64.08% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.15% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.57% Total : 26.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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