Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
0 - 1
Porto

Gomez (8'), Oliveira (13'), Borja (79')
Gomez (12')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Galeno (84')
Conceicao (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-3 Braga
Saturday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Boavista
Sunday, May 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

In what is a season-defining fixture, we expect Braga and Porto to go all out in search of the win as they look to secure a top-three finish. However, we predict that both sides will cancel each other's efforts in a high-scoring stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Porto
36.45% ( -0.36)	24.91% ( 0.17)	38.64% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 58.06% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.74% (

-0.82)

45.26% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4% (

-0.8)

67.6% (

0.8)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62% (

-0.57)

24.38% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21% (

-0.81)

58.79% (

0.81)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78% (

-0.27)

23.22% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.88% (

-0.4)

57.12% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Braga 36.45%

Porto 38.64%

Draw 24.9%

Braga	Draw	Porto
2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.45%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9%	1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.64%