Porto

1 - 2

Guimaraes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.