We said: Estoril Praia 1-3 Porto
Given the stakes of this weekend's clash for both sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. However, Porto boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we fancy them to extend their dominance over the Canarinhos.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.