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Benfica
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Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Benfica

Porto
5 - 0
Benfica

Galeno (20', 44'), Wendell (55'), Pepe (75'), Loader (90')
Conceicao (12'), Gonzalez (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Morato (32'), Otamendi (52')
Otamendi (61')

The Match

Match Report

Galeno scores twice as Porto hammer bitter rivals Benfica 5-0 at the Estadio do Dragao, recording their joint-biggest ever victory in O Classico.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Porto
Thursday, February 29 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBenfica
44.46% (-0.815 -0.81) 24.46% (0.694 0.69) 31.07% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.08% (-2.374 -2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (-3.145 -3.15)44.57% (3.153 3.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-3.116 -3.12)66.94% (3.124 3.12)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-1.617 -1.62)20.17% (1.623 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-2.657 -2.66)52.46% (2.665 2.67)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-1.468 -1.47)27.25% (1.474 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-1.953 -1.95)62.68% (1.959 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Porto 44.46%
    Benfica 31.07%
    Draw 24.46%
PortoDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.744 0.74)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.258 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.325 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 44.46%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.52 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.716 0.72)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.664 0.66)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.07%

How you voted: Porto vs Benfica

Porto
44.4%
Draw
26.4%
Benfica
29.2%
72
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Benfica
1-0
Porto
Di Maria (68')
Neves (59'), di Maria (69'), Jurasek (90+5'), Otamendi (90+5')

Carmo (34'), Taremi (35'), Conceicao (45+45'), Wendell (77'), Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas (82'), Conceicao (90+5')
Cardoso (19')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2023 8.45pm
Final
Benfica
2-0
Porto
Di Maria (61'), Musa (68')
Ristic (15'), Mario (16'), Kokcu (27'), Bah (43'), Neves (49'), Chiquinho (84'), Vlachodimos (87')

Loader (29'), Pepe (33'), Pepe (45+1'), Eustaquio (51'), Sanusi (55')
Pepe (90'), Conceicao (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Costa (10' og.)
Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Benfica
Silva (72')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Benfica
0-1
Porto

Dias (16'), Ramos (24'), Nunez (53'), Lazaro (62'), Almeida (71'), Otamendi (71'), Mario (82'), Weigl (84'), Yaremchuk (90'), Gilberto (90+6')
Sanusi (90+4')
Grujic (30'), Pepe (40'), Taremi (79'), Costa (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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