Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Benfica
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente have turned a corner in recent weeks but will need their A-game against a high-flying Benfica side. As Aguias are currently firing on all cylinders in the league and we are tipping them to come out victorious in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
73.5% ( -0.04) | 16.03% ( -0) | 10.46% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.21% ( 0.15) | 35.79% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.13% ( 0.17) | 57.86% ( -0.17) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.62% ( 0.03) | 8.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.85% ( 0.07) | 29.15% ( -0.07) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% ( 0.18) | 43.7% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.12% ( 0.15) | 79.88% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 73.5%
Gil Vicente 10.46%
Draw 16.03%
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.86% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 73.5% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 1% Total : 16.03% | 1-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 10.46% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Gil Vicente
Benfica
92.6%Draw
7.4%Gil Vicente
0.0%27
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 8.30pm
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
Form Guide
