Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 0
Gil Vicente

Cabral (15'), Neves (34'), Silva (49')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Castillo (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Benfica
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente have turned a corner in recent weeks but will need their A-game against a high-flying Benfica side. As Aguias are currently firing on all cylinders in the league and we are tipping them to come out victorious in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Gil Vicente
73.5% ( -0.04)	16.03% ( -0)	10.46% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.58% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.21% (

0.15)

35.79% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.13% (

0.17)

57.86% (

-0.17)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.62% (

0.03)

8.38% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.85% (

0.07)

29.15% (

-0.07)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.3% (

0.18)

43.7% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.12% (

0.15)

79.88% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Benfica 73.5%

Gil Vicente 10.46%

Draw 16.03%

Benfica	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 73.5%	1-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 16.03%	1-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 10.46%