Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Pereira (12')
Pereira (45+4'), Marlon (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

N'do (88')
Mendes (6'), Pereira Martins (56'), N'do (76'), Kikas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-1 Amarante
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Estrela Amadora

The priority for both of these teams this will season will be avoiding relegation, and we could see a cagey encounter play out as a result of that. In truth, there is little to split them in terms of individual quality. Gil Vicente have collected all of their points on their home patch this season, meaning that we do not envisage them being beaten on Sunday. But Estrela have travelled well and are more than capable of avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Estrela Amadora
55.49% ( 0)	22.43%	22.08% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.71% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.4% (

-0)

42.6% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.99% (

-0)

65.01% (

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77% (

15.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.1%

43.9% (

-0)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.9% (

-0)

33.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.3% (

-0)

69.7% (

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 55.49%

Estrela Amadora 22.08%

Draw 22.43%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Estrela Amadora
2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 55.49%	1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.46% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.43%	1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.08%