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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Gil Vicente logo

Arouca
3 - 0
Gil Vicente

Mujica (45+1', 61', 78')
Mujica (38'), Esgaio (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, December 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Moreirense
Monday, December 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Gil Vicente

 While both sides have been far from impressive this season, it is difficult to make much of a case for the visitors, who have not earned a single point on the road this season and have not won an away match since March. Arouca showed real fighting spirit to come back from two goals down against Rio Ave last week, and we feel they can follow that up with another positive result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawGil Vicente
36.76% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 25.37% (0.0030000000000001 0) 37.86% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.43% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)47.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)69.58% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)25.18% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)59.9% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.58% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (0.010000000000005 0.01)59.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 36.76%
    Gil Vicente 37.86%
    Draw 25.36%
AroucaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.69% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.09% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37.86%

How you voted: Arouca vs Gil Vicente

Arouca
45.5%
Draw
45.5%
Gil Vicente
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Gil Vicente
1-1
Arouca
Carvalho (37')
Dabbagh (30')
> Preview
Nov 8, 2022 6.45pm
Fourth Round
Gil Vicente
1-4
Arouca
Carvalho (17')
Mujica (6', 38', 58'), Manuel Velazquez (90+3')
Aug 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Arouca
1-0
Gil Vicente
Mujica (1')
Soro (44'), Ruiz (52'), De Arruabarrena (73'), Vitinho (90+1')

Cunha (38'), Carraca (81')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Arouca
2-1
Gil Vicente
Silva (55', 59')
Bukia (14'), Quaresma (34')
Simao (45')
Cunha (90+2')
Cunha (82'), Aouacheria (84'), Aburjania (89')
Aburjania (90')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Gil Vicente
1-1
Arouca
Navarro (47')
Talocha (70')
Nunes (16')
Quaresma (21'), Silva (35'), Moreira (66'), Kouassi (77')
Silva (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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