MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 22:58:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Estrela Amadora

Farense
0 - 0
Estrela Amadora


Oliveira (8'), Isidoro (81')
FT

Jaba (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Farense
Friday, December 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-1 Boavista
Sunday, December 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Estrela Amadora

Both these sides have made positive starts to life back in the top flight and would have had this fixture circled as one in which they could earn all three points. This is arguably one of the most even contests in the Primeira Liga this weekend, and we feel there will be nothing to separate these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
42.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 25.53% (0.012 0.01) 32.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)48.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (-0.041 -0.04)70.96% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.02% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)56.83% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.6% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.41% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 42.21%
    Estrela Amadora 32.25%
    Draw 25.53%
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.21%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.25%

How you voted: Farense vs Estrela Amadora

SC Farense
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Estrela Amadora
38.5%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon99003022827
2Porto98012341924
3Benfica86112251719
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
5Braga9522156917
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes94321110115
7MoreirenseMoreirense94231211114
8FamalicaoFamalicao934297213
9Casa Pia9324711-411
10Gil Vicente92431114-310
11Estoril PraiaEstoril9234812-49
12AVS9234716-99
13Rio AveRio Ave9225618-128
14AroucaArouca9216517-127
15BoavistaBoavista9135512-76
16Estrela Amadora9135715-86
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense9117315-124


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