Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
42.21% ( -0) | 25.53% ( 0.01) | 32.25% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% ( -0.05) | 48.86% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% ( -0.04) | 70.96% ( 0.04) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% ( -0.02) | 23.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.17% ( -0.03) | 56.83% ( 0.03) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% ( -0.03) | 28.6% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.59% ( -0.03) | 64.41% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.21% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 28 | 27 |
2 | Porto | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 |
3 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 19 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Casa Pia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
12 | AVS | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 9 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 7 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 |
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