Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Duarte (57' pen.)
Pastor (24'), Isidoro (61')
Isidoro (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ribeiro (3'), Silva (87')
Ribeiro (22'), Maga (59'), Fernandes (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-3 Farense
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 4-1 Vilaverdense
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

We said: SC Farense 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Farense have been steadily improving this season and seem well on their way to re-establishing themselves as a top-flight contender. However, beating a side in the top six is never an easy task, especially after a three-week break. Vitoria got a full 90 minutes under their belts last week, which could be a big factor here, as they are likely to be a little more match-sharp than their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
29.07% ( -0.08)	24.83% ( 0)	46.1% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 55.67% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.79% (

-0.06)

47.21% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.56% (

-0.06)

69.44% (

0.06)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.06% (

-0.09)

29.94% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.96% (

-0.11)

66.04% (

0.11)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

20.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.95% (

0.01)

53.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 29.07%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.1%

Draw 24.82%

SC Farense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.07%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.1%