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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Farense
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Duarte (57' pen.)
Pastor (24'), Isidoro (61')
Isidoro (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ribeiro (3'), Silva (87')
Ribeiro (22'), Maga (59'), Fernandes (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 1-3 Farense
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-1 Vilaverdense
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: SC Farense 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Farense have been steadily improving this season and seem well on their way to re-establishing themselves as a top-flight contender. However, beating a side in the top six is never an easy task, especially after a three-week break. Vitoria got a full 90 minutes under their belts last week, which could be a big factor here, as they are likely to be a little more match-sharp than their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
SC FarenseDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
29.07% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 24.83% (0.0039999999999978 0) 46.1% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.67% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.79% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)47.21% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.56% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)69.44% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)29.94% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (-0.108 -0.11)66.04% (0.10799999999999 0.11)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)53.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 29.07%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.1%
    Draw 24.82%
SC FarenseDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.07%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 9.73% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.7% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 4.06% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 46.1%

Head to Head
May 6, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Farense
2-2
Guimaraes
Pedro (12', 27')
Gauld (69'), Cesar (81'), Abner (88')
Rochinha (2'), Quaresma (90+1')
Suliman (42'), Pepelu (62'), Duarte (90+5')
Suliman (51')
Feb 17, 2021 9.45pm
Gameweek 14
Guimaraes
2-2
Farense
Pepelu (14'), Edwards (36')
Gauld (21' pen.), Stojiljkovic (79')
Pinto (38'), Abner (55')
Pinto (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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