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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Chaves

Guimaraes
5 - 0
Chaves

Mendes (3'), Handel (43'), Silva (45+2'), Silva (53'), Silva (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ribeiro (21'), Nogueira (27')
Nogueira (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moncarapachense 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Chaves

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Canelas 2010 0-0 Chaves (5-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves

 Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and will fancy their chances against a Chaves side whose form on the road is currently nothing to write home about. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we are backing Pacheco's men to come away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawChaves
44.91% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 27.89% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 47.64% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.72% (0.154 0.15)57.28% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.88% (0.121 0.12)78.12% (-0.121 -0.12)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)25.41% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (0.045999999999999 0.05)60.22% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87% (0.165 0.16)36.13% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09% (0.169 0.17)72.91% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.9%
    Chaves 27.89%
    Draw 27.2%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawChaves
1-0 @ 12.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 27.89%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Chaves

Vitoria de Guimaraes
100%
Draw
0.0%
Chaves
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 18
Guimaraes
2-1
Chaves
Silva (18' pen.), Safira (90+7')
Abass (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Chaves
0-1
Guimaraes

Pedro Fortes Bachiessa (16'), Monte (63')
Silva (45+3')
Villanueva (16'), Maga (18'), Bamba (23'), Sa (46'), Amaro (54'), Silva (82'), Varela (83'), Salgueiro Pains (90')
Semedo (82'), Salgueiro Pains (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 28
Guimaraes
4-0
Chaves
Wakaso (4'), Toze (11' pen.), Rochinha (36'), Guedes (80')

Bressan (65')
Dec 2, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Chaves
0-1
Guimaraes

Eustaquio (86')
Davidson (36')
Jan 12, 2018 8.30pm
Chaves
4-3
Guimaraes
Tiba (35' pen., 96' pen.), Davidson (37', 43')
Pereira (73')
Hurtado (10'), Raphinha (16'), Tallo (39')
Garcia (28'), Ramos (30'), Kiko (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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