Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 28, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
5 - 0
Chaves

Mendes (3'), Handel (43'), Silva (45+2'), Silva (53'), Silva (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ribeiro (21'), Nogueira (27')
Nogueira (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moncarapachense 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Canelas 2010 0-0 Chaves (5-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves

Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and will fancy their chances against a Chaves side whose form on the road is currently nothing to write home about. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we are backing Pacheco's men to come away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Chaves
44.91% ( -0.07)	27.2% ( -0.03)	27.89% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 47.64% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.72% (

0.15)

57.28% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88% (

0.12)

78.12% (

-0.12)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

0.03)

25.41% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

0.05)

60.22% (

-0.05)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.87% (

0.16)

36.13% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.09% (

0.17)

72.91% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.9%

Chaves 27.89%

Draw 27.2%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.9%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 27.89%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Chaves

Vitoria de Guimaraes

100%

Draw

0.0%

Chaves

0.0%

Head to Head

Jan 30, 2023 8.15pm

Gameweek 18

Guimaraes

2-1

Chaves

Silva (18' pen.), Safira (90+7')

Abass (90+5')

> Preview

Aug 7, 2022 8.30pm

Gameweek 1

Chaves

0-1

Guimaraes

Pedro Fortes Bachiessa (16'), Monte (63')

Silva (45+3')
Villanueva (16'), Maga (18'), Bamba (23'), Sa (46'), Amaro (54'), Silva (82'), Varela (83'), Salgueiro Pains (90')
Semedo (82'), Salgueiro Pains (90+5')

> Preview

Apr 6, 2019 6pm

Gameweek 28

Guimaraes

4-0

Chaves

Wakaso (4'), Toze (11' pen.), Rochinha (36'), Guedes (80')

Bressan (65')

Dec 2, 2018 5.30pm

Gameweek 11

Chaves

0-1