Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Do Algarve
Moncarapachense1 - 3Guimaraes
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Moncarapachense and Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Moncarapachense had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Moncarapachense win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moncarapachense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
17.42% ( 0.92) | 21.42% ( 0.54) | 61.16% ( -1.46) |
| Both teams to score 52.15% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
