Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 29, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
1 - 0
Famalicao

Luiz (74')
Mansur (17'), Gaspar (25'), Lopes (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nathan (7'), Chiquinho (54'), Otavio (83')
Riccieli (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vila Mea 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, October 21 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Famalicao

After stumbling into the new campaign, Estrela appear to have hit their stride in recent weeks and will look to maintain their new-found form. Famalicao's struggles away from home give Vieira's men a slight edge and we are backing them to come away with a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Famalicao
30.81% ( 0.21)	26.58% ( 0.03)	42.61% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 51.02% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.31% (

-0.05)

53.69% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.82% (

-0.04)

75.18% (

0.04)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

0.13)

32.02% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52% (

0.14)

68.48% (

-0.14)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05% (

-0.14)

24.95% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.41% (

-0.2)

59.59% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 30.81%

Famalicao 42.61%

Draw 26.58%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.81%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.61%