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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Estrela Amadora

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Aderlan (81')
Oudrhiri (21'), Rodrigues (66'), Graca (90+5'), Nobrega (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sa (86' og.)
Pereira Martins (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela Amadora

While the hosts had shown signs of life leading up to the international break, they have been away from competitive action for the best part of the last month. Still, they have fared well against this opponent in the past, and while Estrela did play in the cup last weekend, their performance was not convincing. We are expecting a tight contest and feel these sides will end level at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawEstrela Amadora
53.15% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 24.28% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 22.56% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)50.03% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.01% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)18.76% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)50.16% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.19% (0.028999999999996 0.03)36.8% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4% (0.029 0.03)73.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 53.15%
    Estrela Amadora 22.56%
    Draw 24.28%
Rio AveDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 22.56%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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