Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
1 - 1
Vizela

Luiz (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Samu (48')
Pereira (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Arouca
Thursday, December 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Vizela

While Vizela find themselves in the bottom half of the table after an underwhelming first half of the season, they have been solid away from home in recent weeks and we fancy them coming away with all three points against the hosts who have struggled for consistency. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Vizela
27.75% ( -0.39)	26.65% ( -0.24)	45.59% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.67% (

0.68)

55.32% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.46% (

0.55)

76.54% (

-0.55)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.81% (

0.05)

35.18% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06% (

0.05)

71.93% (

-0.05)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79% (

0.61)

24.2% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.46% (

0.85)

58.54% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 27.75%

Vizela 45.59%

Draw 26.65%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 27.75%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.55% Total : 45.59%